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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has revised its inflation forecast for December to 4.8%, up from 4.5%, following disappointing economic data for the first two quarters of fiscal 2024-25. Historically, the RBI tends to underestimate inflation at the beginning of the year, often adjusting projections upward by December. Inflation surpassed the central bank's estimates earlier this year, breaching the upper tolerance limit of 6% in October.
India's central bank chief, Shaktikanta Das, clarified that no decision has been made by BRICS regarding the creation of a common currency aimed at reducing dollar dependence. He noted that while the idea was discussed, the geographical diversity of member countries poses challenges, unlike the euro zone's contiguity.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has maintained the repo rate at 6.5 percent for the 11th consecutive time, while hinting at a potential rate cut in February. The RBI also revised its inflation forecast for FY25 to 4.8 percent and lowered GDP growth expectations to 6.6 percent for the year ending March 2025, following disappointing economic data.
RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das clarified that India is not pursuing de-dollarisation but is focused on reducing risks in domestic trade amid geopolitical tensions. In response to President-elect Trump's tariff threats on BRICS nations, Das emphasized that India has only taken steps to facilitate local-currency trade with a few countries to mitigate reliance on a single currency.
The Reserve Bank of India has revised its GDP growth estimate for 2024-25 down to 6.6 percent from 7.2 percent, aligning more closely with the finance ministry’s Economic Survey, which forecasts a growth of 6.5 percent. This adjustment follows a significant slowdown in the economy, which recorded a growth of just 5.4 percent in the second quarter, contrary to expectations of around 6.5 percent.
On December 6, the Reserve Bank of India cut the cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 50 bps, injecting Rs 1.16 lakh crore into the banking system, while maintaining the repo rate at 6.5% for the 11th consecutive meeting. The Monetary Policy Committee aims to achieve a medium-term consumer price index inflation target of 4%, amidst rising inflation and subdued growth, with the latest CPI at 6.21%. Experts view the CRR reduction positively for bank liquidity, though expectations for further repo rate cuts remain cautious.
The Reserve Bank of India has reduced the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) by 50 basis points to 4%, releasing Rs 1.16 lakh crore in liquidity into the system, which is beneficial for borrowers. Meanwhile, the policy repo rate remains unchanged at 6.50%, indicating stable lending and deposit rates for banks.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has maintained the repo rate at 6.5 percent for the 11th consecutive time, keeping home loan rates and EMIs unchanged. This decision aims to balance inflation and growth, as the MPC emphasizes the importance of durable price stability for economic strength. Borrowers with floating-rate loans will see no immediate changes in their interest burdens.
The Reserve Bank of India has unexpectedly reduced the cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 50 basis points, bringing it down to 4 percent. This adjustment will occur in two phases of 25 basis points each, starting December 14 and December 28. The move aims to enhance liquidity for banks, allowing them to lend more by lowering the cash reserves they must hold with the central bank.
Rate-sensitive stocks exhibited mixed results on December 6, following the Reserve Bank of India's decision to cut the cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 50 basis points to 4 percent, alleviating growth concerns. The Nifty Bank and Auto indices rose by 0.3 percent, while the Nifty Realty index declined by 0.6 percent. This CRR reduction, the second in four years, is expected to inject Rs 1.6 lakh crore into the banking system.
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